Readers of this blog have been pressing me (offline) this month with a sensible question: why am I not discussing the Stephenville UFO? After all, what could be more paradigm-shifting than solid evidence of sentient, technological, extraterrestrial life, and life that is visiting Earth, no less? Haven't we commented several times here on the possibility of alien civilization?...
view entire post
 |
| image:sussurus sparks |
Readers of this blog have been pressing me (offline) this month with a sensible question: why am I not discussing the
Stephenville UFO? After all, what could be more paradigm-shifting than solid evidence of sentient, technological, extraterrestrial life, and life that is visiting Earth, no less? Haven't we commented
several times
here on the possibility of alien civilization? Indeed, isn't one of the questions in which FQX as a whole claims to have an interest that of whether life is
ubiquitous in the universe?
Yes indeed. But there's a catch; and, strange to say, the catch is what makes Foundational research so interesting.
I don't speak for FQX, but I imagine those who do would agree with me that if we actually had scientific evidence of advanced alien life, or
any alien life, we would all be jumping out of our skins. Some FQX grantees are actively searching for it
right now, in fact, and they are in good company with scientists around the world. To date, though, there isn't any such evidence.
How can I say that? the voices cry. Independent, credible witnesses, including a reporter, a constable, and a pilot, have all reported seeing the mile-wide
UFO in Texas. Some even saw
military jets chasing it. The Air Force initially denied having any jets in the area; then, after two weeks and a mounting public outcry,
admitted there were in fact F-16s scrambled over Stephenville that night. How much more could one want?
Well . . .
This isn't a debunking site, so I don't want to make UFO reports a regular feature. But the question of how people profoundly interested in the possibility of alien life can nevertheless be wholly uninterested in UFOs bears on the distinction between what FQX Community does and what many other internet sites do. This distinction is, I think, an important one, and worth comment.
 |
| image:00dann |
I should first say, in the interest of full disclosure, that I *love* a good UFO story. Can't get enough of 'em. The best ones almost sparkle with that "what if?" quality that makes one's scalp tingle even at the faint possibility. "What if . . . just this once . . . !" But there are a number of problems with the myriad accounts of close encounters we all know about, the most basic one being that there is no evidence any of them have happened.
Well, not technically none; there is a lot of anecdotal evidence in support of saucers (It's interesting to note that the whole idea of a "flying saucer" is based on a verbal misapprehension. The first modern witness, pilot Kenneth Arnold, never said he saw saucers, he said he saw objects that skipped across the clouds like saucers thrown across water. The "saucer" meme is all that made it into popular consciousness.) Hundreds, if not thousands, of eyewitnesses swear to their regular appearance in our skies, their habit of abducting the somnolent, and so forth. The stickler, as Neil deGrasse
Tyson is good at pointing out, is that anecdotal evidence is the least interesting kind of evidence in science, very close to being without value.
Lots of independent, credible witnesses saw a mysterious object in the sky over Stephenville. But so what? Lots of people see ghosts--really, truly see them, all the time. That's not to say the witnesses in Stephenville are deluded, or mendacious, or that people who see ghosts are, either; but that five or ten or a hundred anecdotes still don't add up to anything solid. Humans are frankly terrible observers (especially when
looking up), terrible
recorders of information, and terrible at
objectivity, all of which is why we use the scientific method. There's a wall of possible
mistakes between anecdote and evidence that's dense enough to block a neutrino.
Here's why the work FQX does is singular, and so important. Almost everyone is interested in at least some of the deep questions: What is consciousness? Is it distinct to each brain or only one thing (as
Shroedinger thought)? Does it determine some aspects of material reality--is the moon really there when no one is looking at it (as
Einstein thought)? Is there a limit to what we can know, or does knowledge go on forever (as
Asimov thought)? Are we alone in the galaxy, or might there be a community of sentient species awaiting our arrival on the cosmic scene (as
Sagan thought)?
A dozen answers to each of these, and more, can be found with a quick search of the net. But few of those answers are credible; few of them are backed up by rigorous theory and controlled experiment; few of them carry the imprimatur of actual scientific exploration. A saucer is data, but a saucer report is just another story. Meanwhile a good deal of the science the public does see is specialized, seemingly out of reach, and often does not reflect our deeper yearnings to understand the cosmos.
Foundational work, either at FQX or
elsewhere, can function as a
bridge between these two worlds. If aliens are out there, if their existence can be confirmed by some kind of
SETI, we will not only have information of a paradigm-shattering sort but truly have come to a turning point in all of human history. The impact of such information on society would be hard to overstate (I don't mean panic in the streets; that never seemed realistic to me). The value of this question, and its answer, is far too great to loosen our evidential standards just as we are approaching the gold.
That's my take on UFOs , though I welcome other points of view here. So much fascinating work is being done by FQX folks that, for me, it eclipses the allure of another set of hovering lights.
 |
| image:fdecomite |
view post as summary